Hormuz still tight · Costly oil workarounds · Ukraine hit at UNGA · EU diesel records
Three theaters stay hot into Sept 24. Diplomacy is louder at UNGA; tanker and diesel stress are not relieved.
Middle East: Visible Hormuz commodity traffic remains far below peacetime. Preliminary Kpler/Reuters data showed about 10 trackable commodity vessels on Wednesday (up from seven Tuesday) versus a ~17-ship 10-day average and ~125/day before the war—mostly bulk, not a normal tanker lane. Gulf producers keep moving oil via expensive workarounds (US-guided southern corridor, ship-to-ship transfers, Fujairah pipeline); analysts put recoverable flows near ~8 of ~15 mb/d prewar, with charter rates that spiked near $1M/day earlier this month. US officials claim far higher barrels through the corridor than independent AIS counts; treat official reopen talk as unverified until traffic recovers.
Ukraine: Russia kept ballistic-missile and drone waves going as leaders met at the UN. Overnight into Sept 24 hit Kyiv again (deaths reported) and damaged medical, residential, and school sites in Odesa; Wednesday’s wider strikes killed at least seven. Lavrov said there would be no pause; Zelensky warned of a harsh winter fight. No ceasefire.
Europe / US energy: EU pump diesel already printed fresh 2026 record highs; US average retail diesel climbed above $6/gal for the first time on record this month (Reuters). French official counts still show roughly 11% of stations short on at least one fuel (down from ~15% earlier in the week)—localized, not a national empty-tank crisis. Freight and pump diesel remain the nearest US channel.
For USL readers: keep plans current, watch diesel/shipping costs, avoid panic buys. Talks and headlines move faster than tanker traffic.
Sources
- Rappler/Reuters — Hormuz traffic still below 10-day average (Sept 24)
- AP — Gulf nations keep oil flowing via costly Hormuz workarounds
- Kyiv Post — Russia hits Odesa and Kyiv overnight (Sept 24)
- AFP — Russian strikes kill seven; Lavrov says no pause at UN
- Reuters — Global diesel at record highs
- Anadolu — ~11% of French fuel stations still short (Sept 23)